Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao·2025-09-29 20:45Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in the banking sector are primarily driven by short-term arbitrage fund withdrawals and an increase in market risk appetite, rather than the fundamental performance of banks [1][2][3] Group 1: Market Trends - Since July 11, the banking sector index has shown a downward trend, with an overall decline exceeding 14% after a brief rebound in early August [1] - The current market environment has led active funds to favor technology and growth sectors, resulting in a shift away from banking stocks [1][2] - The recent adjustments in the banking sector are compounded by high dividend payouts in July, leading to profit-taking by investors [2][3] Group 2: Investment Sentiment - Despite recent underperformance, banking stocks remain attractive to long-term investors such as insurance funds and social security funds, supported by favorable policies encouraging institutional investment [3][4] - Data shows that insurance funds are significant shareholders in over 700 stocks, with several banking stocks among their top holdings [3] Group 3: Long-term Outlook - Analysts believe that the long-term valuation recovery of banking stocks is not a short-term phenomenon but will be supported by ongoing transformations in the banking sector's operating models [6][7] - The banking sector is transitioning towards a more quality-focused approach, enhancing capital efficiency and increasing non-interest income, which is expected to bolster the attractiveness of banking stocks [6][7] - The potential for increased investment from insurance funds is significant, as regulatory changes may lead to a higher allocation of new premiums into the A-share market [7]