Vail Resorts (MTN) Reports Q4 Loss, Lags Revenue Estimates

Core Insights - Vail Resorts reported a quarterly loss of $5.08 per share, which was worse than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $4.75, and compared to a loss of $4.67 per share a year ago, indicating a negative earnings surprise of -6.95% [1] - The company generated revenues of $271.29 million for the quarter ended July 2025, slightly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.21%, but showing an increase from $265.39 million in the same quarter last year [2] - Vail Resorts has underperformed the market, with shares down approximately 21.2% year-to-date, contrasting with a 13% gain in the S&P 500 [3] Earnings Outlook - The earnings outlook for Vail Resorts is uncertain, with current consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming quarter at -$5.14 and $7.63 for the current fiscal year, alongside projected revenues of $271.97 million and $3.06 billion respectively [7] - The trend of estimate revisions prior to the earnings release was unfavorable, resulting in a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell) for the stock, suggesting expected underperformance in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Leisure and Recreation Services industry, to which Vail Resorts belongs, is currently ranked in the top 38% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a relatively strong position within the market [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which could impact Vail Resorts' stock performance [5]