美国库存充足、欧洲储库推进、国内需求缓慢修复,各地气价均较为平稳 | 投研报告
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang·2025-09-30 01:48

Core Viewpoint - The gas industry is experiencing stable prices due to sufficient inventory in the US, progress in European storage, and slow recovery in domestic demand [1][2]. Price Tracking - As of September 26, 2025, the week-on-week price changes for various gas prices are as follows: US HH -0.1%, Europe TTF +1.2%, East Asia JKM -0.6%, China LNG ex-factory -0.1%, and China LNG CIF -2.1%, with prices at 0.7, 2.8, 2.9, 2.7, and 2.8 CNY per cubic meter respectively [2][3]. Supply and Demand Analysis - Inventory is sufficient in the US, with average total supply decreasing by 0.1% week-on-week to 111.7 billion cubic feet per day, while total demand increased by 2.7% to 101.3 billion cubic feet per day [3]. - In Europe, gas prices increased by 1.2% week-on-week, with total gas consumption from January to June 2025 at 240.8 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 5.8% [3]. - Domestic gas prices decreased by 0.1% week-on-week, with apparent consumption from January to August 2025 at 283.2 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 0.8% [3]. Pricing Progress - From 2022 to August 2025, 65% of cities have implemented residential pricing adjustments, with an increase of 0.21 CNY per cubic meter [4]. Investment Recommendations - For 2025, the industry is expected to see relaxed supply, cost optimization for gas companies, and continued price mechanism adjustments. Key recommendations include companies like Xinao Energy, China Resources Gas, and Kunlun Energy, with attention to companies with quality long-term contracts and cost advantages [5].