国泰海通:维持百度集团-SW(09888) “增持”评级 目标价176港元
智通财经网·2025-09-30 01:52

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Baidu Group's revenue and net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted, with revenue projected at 130.7 billion, 138.5 billion, and 149.2 billion yuan respectively, and net profit at 17.6 billion, 20.2 billion, and 29.8 billion yuan respectively [1] - The target price for Baidu Group has been adjusted to 176 HKD, maintaining a "Buy" rating based on a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) valuation method [1] Group 2 - Baidu's AI performance continues to improve, with the release of the Wenxin X1.1 model showing a 34.8% increase in factual accuracy, a 12.5% increase in instruction adherence, and a 9.6% improvement in intelligent agent performance, aligning overall benchmark results with GPT-5 and Gemini 2.5 Pro [2] - AI has empowered multiple Baidu businesses, with AI-generated content accounting for 64% of search business in July, driving development in smart cloud services and enhancing advertising through digital human capabilities [2] Group 3 - Kunlun Chip has achieved multiple technological breakthroughs and secured large orders since 2025, with the flagship Kunlun P800 chip being particularly suited for MoE model architectures [3] - The P800 chip has been selected for the AI chip project of China Merchants Bank, and significant orders have been won in the AI procurement project of China Mobile, indicating strong market competitiveness and technological capability [3] Group 4 - The company "Luo Bo Kuaipao" is accelerating its overseas expansion, having received the first autonomous driving test license in Dubai, with plans to deploy over 1,000 Robotaxis [4] - The company is also negotiating with governments in Southeast Asia and Australia to introduce Robotaxis, and has partnered with Uber and Lyft to support its overseas deployment [4] - Total orders for Robotaxis have surpassed 14 million, positioning this segment as a significant driver of non-advertising revenue growth for Baidu [4]