智通财经网·2025-09-30 03:24Core Viewpoint - The report from China Merchants Securities International indicates that while the Hong Kong stock market is experiencing short-term volatility, the long-term upward trend remains intact, suggesting a focus on structural themes rather than index levels [1] Market Performance - During the week of September 22-26, the Hong Kong stock market saw a general decline, with the Hang Seng Index dropping by 1.57% and the Hang Seng Tech Index falling by 1.58% [1] - The AH premium significantly widened to 120, indicating a disparity between Hong Kong and mainland Chinese stocks [1] Sector Analysis - Most major sectors in the Hong Kong market experienced declines, with only the materials sector showing an increase, while sectors such as consumer staples, real estate, and construction led the losses [1] Capital Flow - The micro-funding environment showed a net outflow of Hong Kong capital, while both southbound and foreign capital recorded net inflows [1] - Southbound capital saw a total net inflow of 44 billion HKD, primarily directed towards non-essential consumer and information technology sectors [1] - Foreign capital through ETFs recorded a net purchase of 555 million USD, and local Hong Kong ETFs also saw a net inflow of 7.7 billion HKD, totaling a year-to-date net inflow of 59.6 billion HKD [1] Investment Focus - The report highlights AI technology and non-ferrous metals as two core investment themes, with Alibaba-W (09988) being the preferred choice in the AI sector due to its full-stack AI capabilities [1] - There is an emphasis on increasing allocation to sectors experiencing a reversal of difficulties, such as essential consumption, high dividend strategies, and undervalued innovative pharmaceutical stocks, while avoiding excessive concentration risk in holdings [1]