Group 1 - The core viewpoint of Dongwu Securities is that the current valuation of Green Tea Group (06831) remains cost-effective, with significant room for store penetration and new store formats expected, leading to a "Buy" rating [1] - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 48.01 billion, 59.67 billion, and 72.53 billion yuan for the years 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 25.09%, 24.28%, and 21.54% respectively [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 5.03 billion, 6.32 billion, and 8.11 billion yuan for the same period, with growth rates of 43.70%, 25.64%, and 28.34% respectively [1] Group 2 - The casual Chinese dining market in mainland China is experiencing steady growth, with the market size increasing from 39,527 billion yuan in 2020 to 55,718 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 8.96% [2] - The market for casual Chinese dining is expected to grow from 3,513 billion yuan to 5,347 billion yuan from 2020 to 2024, with a CAGR of 11.1%, indicating a faster growth rate compared to the overall dining market [2] Group 3 - Green Tea Group stands out due to its unique fusion cuisine, cost-effective dishes, and distinctive restaurant decor, which incorporates elements of traditional Chinese culture and natural landscapes [3] - The average consumer spending at Green Tea is between 50-70 yuan, which is more competitive compared to other brands like Xibei and Taier, where the spending ranges from 60-90 yuan [3] Group 4 - The company plans to accelerate store openings, targeting 150, 200, and 213 new stores in 2025-2027, with specific plans for various regions and cities [4] - The company aims to enhance its product development capabilities, with a significant increase in the number of new products launched from 172 in 2022 to 203 in 2024, and a projected CAGR of 35% for takeaway revenue [4]
东吴证券:首予绿茶集团(06831)“买入”评级 未来进一步延展餐厅网络