亚开行上调亚洲经济增速至4.8%:短期出口拉动 长期贸易阴云犹存
Xin Hua Cai Jing·2025-09-30 03:23

Core Viewpoint - The Asian Development Bank (ADB) has slightly raised its growth forecast for developing Asian economies in 2023 due to strong economic expansion in the first half of the year, but ongoing trade headwinds cast a shadow over the outlook [1] Economic Growth Forecast - ADB projects the economic growth rate for the region in 2025 to be 4.8%, a slight increase from the 4.7% forecast in July, but still below the initial estimate of 4.9% made in April [1] - The growth in the first half of 2025 is expected to be 5.4%, surpassing the 4.9% growth anticipated for the second half of 2024, driven by preemptive exports of electronics and AI-related products to avoid high tariffs [1] Inflation Outlook - ADB predicts that the inflation rate for the region in 2025 will decrease to 1.7%, down from the April estimate of 2.3%, with a potential slight increase to 2.1% in 2026 [1]