U.S. Government Shutdown Looms Amid Mass Federal Resignations; China’s Economy Contracts; J.P. Morgan Adjusts Key Price Targets

Government Shutdown and Federal Employment - The U.S. government is on the verge of a shutdown, with over 100,000 federal workers expected to resign, marking the largest single-year decline in civilian federal employment since World War II [2][3] - The Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) could furlough 41% of its 79,717 employees, impacting critical public health functions [3] - The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) may furlough 64% of its staff, while the National Institutes of Health (NIH) could furlough over 75% of its workforce, halting essential research and patient admissions [3] China's Economic Situation - China's manufacturing sector is facing ongoing challenges, with the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) at 49.4, indicating contraction for the fifth consecutive month [5] - Weak domestic demand, a struggling property sector, and trade deal uncertainties with the U.S. are contributing to this economic downturn [5] - Iron ore futures have dropped by 2.6% to $125.95 per metric ton, reflecting reduced manufacturing and infrastructure investment, although some analysts expect a quarterly gain due to seasonal demand [6] Analyst Adjustments for Companies - J.P. Morgan has raised its price target for A.P. Moller – Maersk (AMKBY) to DKK 8,900 from DKK 8,450, indicating a positive outlook for the shipping sector [7][8] - Conversely, J.P. Morgan has cut its price target for TotalEnergies SE (TTE) to €58.5 from €61, reflecting a more cautious outlook for the energy sector [8] International Political Developments - Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro is considering an emergency declaration in response to perceived U.S. hostility, citing recent naval deployments and strikes in the Caribbean [9]