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稳增长!国家统计局节前发布重要数据!
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Zhi Sheng·2025-09-30 04:13

Core Insights - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose to 49.8% in September, indicating a slight improvement in economic activity [1][2] - The non-manufacturing business activity index remained stable at 50.0%, showing a slight decline from the previous month [1][5] - Overall, the composite PMI output index increased to 50.6%, suggesting a slight acceleration in economic output [1] Manufacturing Sector - Manufacturing production activities accelerated, with the production index reaching 51.9%, the highest in nearly six months [2] - The new orders index improved to 49.7%, indicating a slight recovery in market demand [2] - Key industries such as food and beverage, automotive, and aerospace showed strong production and new orders indices above 54.0% [2][3] - Small enterprises saw a PMI increase to 48.2%, while large enterprises maintained a stable expansion with a PMI of 51.0% [2] Non-Manufacturing Sector - The service sector's business activity index was at 50.1%, indicating continued expansion [5] - The construction sector's business activity index slightly improved to 49.3%, reflecting a marginal recovery [5] - The business activity expectation index for the service sector remained optimistic at 56.3%, indicating stable growth expectations [5][6] Market Outlook - Analysts expect macroeconomic conditions to improve in the fourth quarter, driven by policy support and seasonal demand factors [4][6] - The manufacturing sector is anticipated to continue its stable growth, supported by favorable market prices and completion of annual business targets [4] - The construction and service sectors are expected to see a rebound in activity due to year-end effects and holiday demand [6]