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澳洲联储淡化降息预期 静待十月CPI数据指引
Jin Tou Wang·2025-09-30 05:17

Group 1 - The Australian dollar (AUD) has appreciated against the US dollar (USD), currently trading around 0.65, with a 0.30% increase from the previous close of 0.6575 [1] - Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock expressed increased confidence that inflation will remain within the central bank's target range of 2%-3% [1] - The labor market has shown signs of easing, with a slight increase in the unemployment rate, although some sectors still face supply-demand imbalances [1] Group 2 - Bullock has downplayed market expectations for an interest rate cut in the near term, indicating that the board will closely monitor economic data and evolving risks for future policy decisions [1] - The upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) report on October 29 is expected to be a key determinant for the RBA's policy direction at the November 4 meeting [1] - Market analysts suggest that if CPI data significantly exceeds the midpoint of the target range, it may reinforce the central bank's tightening stance; conversely, if inflation slows more than expected, it could reignite discussions on policy shifts [1]