美联储副主席杰斐逊：如果没有美联储的支持 就业市场将面临潜在压力

Core Viewpoint - The Vice Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Jefferson, anticipates that the U.S. economy will continue to grow at around 1.5% for the remainder of the year, indicating potential pressure on the labor market without Federal Reserve support [1] Economic Growth - Jefferson expects the U.S. economy to grow at approximately 1.5% for the rest of the year [1] - He supports a 25 basis point interest rate cut during the September meeting to balance the risks of inflation remaining above target and increasing threats to the labor market [1] Labor Market - The labor market is showing signs of softening, suggesting it may face pressure without adequate support [1] - Jefferson emphasizes the need for Federal Reserve intervention to sustain employment levels [1] Inflation Outlook - Jefferson predicts that inflation will begin to decline towards the Federal Reserve's target level of 2% after this year [1] - He notes that the impacts of trade, immigration, and other policies from the Trump administration are still evolving, contributing to high uncertainty in baseline forecasts [1] Trade and Economic Impact - Although tariffs have a lower impact on inflation and other economic aspects than some economists expected, Jefferson believes these effects will become more apparent in the coming months [1]