Dollar Falls on US Payrolls Risk, Potential Washington Shutdown

Group 1 - The dollar weakened by 0.2% on Monday, marking a second consecutive day of decline, influenced by the risk of a US government shutdown and uncertainties surrounding upcoming economic data releases [2][3] - The two-year Treasury yield decreased by 2 basis points to 3.62%, down from a high of 3.67% on Friday, as investors await the latest payrolls reading to gauge the likelihood of further Federal Reserve rate cuts [5][6] - Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated challenges ahead for policymakers due to risks in the labor market and inflation, leading to a pullback in expectations for policy easing, with swaps suggesting an 80% chance of a rate cut next month [6] Group 2 - The dollar experienced its most significant decline against the yen, dropping as much as 0.7% to 148.47, amid speculation of a potential interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan [7] - Comments from a dovish Bank of Japan board member highlighted the increasing need for an interest rate rise, which could further strengthen the yen if the ruling party selects a leader favoring monetary tightening [7]