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Citi Sees Big Tech Spending Even More on AI Next Year—Here's How Much
Investopedia·2025-09-30 22:55

Core Insights - Citigroup analysts have revised their forecast for hyperscalers' AI infrastructure spending to $490 billion for next year, up from a previous estimate of $420 billion, indicating strong demand in the sector [2][4] - The shift from cash flow funding to debt financing for AI infrastructure projects raises concerns about potential vulnerabilities in the AI boom, including risks related to defaults and interest rates [3][7] - Major companies like Oracle and OpenAI are making significant investments in AI infrastructure, with Oracle expected to increase its capital expenditures to $58 billion by fiscal year 2027, nearly three times its previous spending [8][9] Industry Trends - The AI infrastructure boom has been a significant driver of U.S. stock market gains and economic growth, with tech companies increasingly relying on debt to fund their investments [3][5] - Recent partnerships and investments in AI have highlighted a growing urgency for enterprise-level adoption, suggesting a robust demand for AI services [4][11] - Analysts note that the current investment cycle is characterized by a transition to debt funding, which introduces new risks compared to previous cash flow-funded stages [7][10] Company Developments - Oracle recently sold $18 billion in bonds to finance its cloud capacity expansion, which is part of a larger $300 billion deal with OpenAI [8][9] - OpenAI has entered a novel agreement with Nvidia to lease chips, potentially reducing hardware costs by 10 to 15%, while securing a $100 billion equity investment [9][10] - Nvidia's stock price target has been raised to $210 from $200 due to expected benefits from increased spending on AI infrastructure [4]