美国消费者信心指数转弱，就业预期连续九个月恶化并创多年新低

Group 1 - The consumer confidence index in the U.S. dropped to 94.2 in September, a decrease of 3.6 points from August, marking the lowest level since April [1] - The percentage of respondents who believe job opportunities are "plentiful" fell to 26.9%, a decline of over 3 percentage points from August, while those who think jobs are "hard to find" remained at 19.1% [1] - There is a significant increase in pessimism regarding financial conditions, with the largest single-month decline in perceptions of current financial status since July 2022 [1] Group 2 - The Conference Board's senior economist noted a clear weakening in consumer judgment regarding business conditions, with a continuous deterioration in views on job opportunities for nine months, reflecting the slowing U.S. economic recovery and pressure on household spending [1] - Wall Street analysts suggest that the stability of the labor market is a crucial consideration for Federal Reserve officials as they contemplate future interest rate movements [1] - The Vice Chairman of the Federal Reserve indicated that inflation rates in the U.S. are expected to decline next year, reaching 2% in the coming years, while the downside risks to the labor market are increasing [1] Group 3 - Recent employment data in the U.S. has shown a weaker-than-expected trend for two consecutive months, indicating a cooling labor market [3] - The decline in employment numbers is attributed to reduced labor supply due to immigration policies, which has prevented a significant rise in the unemployment rate, and wage growth remains moderate [3] - Current conditions do not warrant a high-risk assessment for a recession in the U.S. economy at this time [3]