【财经分析】英国经济增长动能持续疲弱：私人消费不足 企业投资积极性受挫

Economic Growth Trends - The UK economy's growth momentum is showing signs of continued weakness, with a quarterly growth rate of 0.7% in Q1 slowing to 0.3% in Q2 [1] - Current data indicates that the growth rate is further declining in Q3, with July showing zero growth and PMI data suggesting a continued slowdown in August and September [1] Manufacturing Sector Challenges - The manufacturing PMI for September dropped to 46.2, marking a five-month low, indicating significant challenges for UK manufacturers due to low market sentiment and rising costs [1] - Manufacturers' confidence for the next 12 months remains low, reflecting ongoing difficulties in the sector [1] Retail Sector Performance - Retail sales in the UK fell by 0.1% from June to August, with a 0.6% decline from May to July, indicating a prolonged downturn in retail traffic [2] - The increase in household savings, which rose by 0.2 percentage points to 10.7%, suggests that consumers are prioritizing savings over spending [2] Inflation Impact - The UK's CPI remained at 3.8% year-on-year in July and August, contributing to weakened consumer confidence, particularly in food prices which rose by 4.2% [3] - Rising energy bills and concerns over potential tax increases are adding to consumer pressure [3] Business Investment Decline - Private sector investment fell by 1.1% in Q2, contrasting with a 3% increase in the same period last year, primarily due to reduced investment in equipment [4] - Government investment was the main contributor to the 0.3% growth in Q2, but overall fixed asset investment remains significantly lower compared to previous years [4] Recommendations for Economic Stability - To stabilize economic growth, it is crucial to enhance private consumption and business investment, with a focus on controlling inflation and stabilizing policy expectations [5] - The government is urged to utilize policy tools to lower costs for businesses and stimulate investment, particularly in the upcoming autumn budget [5]