Bitcoin Rally Pushes Crypto Into Green for September, But Alts Are Lagging: Analysis

Market Overview - Bitcoin is currently trading above $114,000, showing resilience with a nearly 1% increase despite broader market weakness, and is described as entering a "cooling phase" that may lead to an upward move [3][6] - The global cryptocurrency market cap is approximately $4 trillion, with Bitcoin and Ethereum both experiencing modest rebounds, while many altcoins are struggling [6] - The Altcoin Season Index has dropped from 77 to 58 points, indicating a shift in trader sentiment towards Bitcoin or exiting the market entirely [4] Technical Indicators - Bitcoin maintains a golden cross formation, with the 50-day moving average above the 200-day moving average, suggesting a bullish medium-term trend [2] - The Average Directional Index (ADX) for Bitcoin is at 18, indicating a lack of strong trend establishment and leaving the market vulnerable to external shocks [8] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin is around 50, reflecting a balanced market, while the Squeeze Momentum Indicator has flipped bearish, suggesting a wait-and-see environment [10][11] Sentiment and Predictions - Prediction market data shows a 74% expectation of further declines in Bitcoin's price before the next trading session, with traders split on the next direction [11][12] - Myriad traders have placed 53% odds on Bitcoin moving towards $125,000 and 47% on a dip back to $105,000, indicating mixed sentiment [12] Cardano (ADA) Analysis - Cardano is currently trading just above $0.80, down approximately 1% today, and is 74% off its all-time high of $3.09 [13] - The 50-day EMA is above the 200-day EMA, indicating a long-term bullish structure, but short-term momentum is soft, with a potential "death cross" looming [15][16] - The RSI for ADA is at 40, suggesting bearish-to-neutral territory, while the ADX at 22 indicates a lack of decisive trend [17] Dogecoin (DOGE) Analysis - Dogecoin has fallen 3.3% to $0.227, testing critical support levels, with immediate support at $0.227 and resistance at $0.236 [19][26] - The 50-day EMA is above the 200-day EMA, indicating a constructive longer-term setup, but near-term weakness is evident [21] - Despite current challenges, there is optimism regarding a potential Dogecoin ETF approval by year-end, which could attract institutional investment [23][24]