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Afternoon Rally Propels Indexes to New Highs Amid AI Enthusiasm and Fed Rate Cut Hopes
Stock Market Newsยท2025-10-02 18:07

Core Insights - U.S. equity markets showed resilience and upward momentum, with major indexes hitting new all-time highs despite concerns over a partial government shutdown [1] - Investor sentiment was positive, driven by enthusiasm for artificial intelligence (AI), strong corporate earnings, and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1] Major Index Performance - The S&P 500 closed slightly higher, marking another record close for the year, while the Nasdaq Composite set new intraday records [2] - The S&P 500 Index delivered an 8.1% return in Q3, and the Nasdaq Composite reached new all-time highs [2] - The Russell 2000 posted a 12.4% total return in Q3, indicating healthier market breadth beyond mega-cap tech [2] Sectoral Insights - Technology and communication services led sector performance, climbing 12.4% and 12.75% respectively in Q3, driven by the AI boom [3] - Healthcare stocks performed well, with pharmaceutical and biotech companies providing a potential safe haven for investors [3] - Financials showed mixed results, with some major banks experiencing slight declines due to interest rate expectations [3] - Consumer defensives were the only sector in negative territory in Q3, with losses of 2.71% [3] Upcoming Market Events - The ongoing government shutdown is delaying the release of critical economic data, including the jobs report and CPI inflation report [4] - The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a nearly 100% chance of a rate cut later this month, with 86% odds of two cuts before year-end [4] - The IMF has significant releases scheduled for October, including the "World Economic Outlook" and "Global Financial Stability Report," which may provide insights into global economic health [5] Earnings Season - The third-quarter earnings season is set to begin in the second full week of October, with major banks like JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo among the first to report [6] - Analysts estimate a year-over-year earnings growth rate of 7.9% for S&P 500 companies, marking the ninth consecutive quarter of earnings growth [6] Major Stock News - Chip shares rallied after OpenAI announced partnerships with SK Hynix and Samsung, boosting U.S. chipmakers like AMD and Broadcom [7] - NVIDIA saw gains driven by strong AI growth, while Microsoft and Apple also experienced stock increases due to positive investor sentiment [8] - Fair Isaac's shares soared about 20% after announcing it would offer credit scores directly to firms, negatively impacting Equifax and TransUnion [9] - Tesla shares declined 3% despite better-than-expected delivery figures, while Stellantis stock rose 7% after reporting a 6% increase in U.S. sales [9] Stock Recommendations - Companies like Montrose Environmental Group, Ultrapar Participacoes, and Futu Holdings were highlighted as "Strong Buy" stocks for October 2nd based on increasing consensus estimates for their earnings [10]