Fed Balance Sheet QT: -$15 Billion in September, -$2.38 Trillion from Peak, to $6.59 Trillion
Wolfstreet·2025-10-03 01:05

Core Insights - The Federal Reserve's balance sheet decreased by $15 billion in September, totaling $6.59 trillion, marking a 26.5% reduction since its peak in April 2022 [1][2] - The Fed has shed 49.5% of the $4.81 trillion accumulated during the pandemic-era quantitative easing (QE) [1] - The Standing Repo Facility (SRF) saw limited use, with $1.5 billion drawn on September 15, indicating minor liquidity strains in the repo market [1][15] Balance Sheet Changes - Total assets declined by $15 billion, consisting of $24 billion in declines and $9 billion in increases [1] - Treasury securities decreased by $4.4 billion in September, down 27.3% from the peak in June 2022, totaling $4.20 trillion [4] - Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) fell by $16.8 billion in September, down 24% from the peak, now at $2.08 trillion [7] Specific Asset Changes - The decline in MBS is attributed to reduced mortgage refinancing and home sales, leading to slower principal payments [8][9] - The Fed has shed 48% of the $1.37 trillion in MBS accumulated during pandemic QE [7] - Unamortized premiums decreased by $1.9 billion in September, reflecting the amortization of premiums paid for bonds during QE [22] Liquidity Facilities - The Discount Window saw an increase of $2.8 billion, reaching $7.2 billion, indicating some uptake by banks to manage liquidity needs [19] - The SRF has been improved to encourage banks to borrow and lend in the repo market, helping to stabilize overnight rates [14][15] Economic Context - The Fed's assets-to-GDP ratio fell to 21.6% in September, a level not seen since Q3 2013 [25] - The remaining pandemic-era Special Purpose Vehicles (SPVs) are declining, with only the MSLP remaining at $3.7 billion [23]