“10万+”新房称霸上海楼市 二手房中介称“大跌不太会 但涨回去更难”

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai real estate market is experiencing a mixed performance, with new policies positively impacting transaction volumes, but significant disparities exist among different projects and locations [3][4][12]. Market Performance - In September, Shanghai's total housing transactions reached 2.07 million square meters, marking an 8% month-on-month increase and a 24% year-on-year increase [3]. - New housing transactions accounted for 550,000 square meters, with a month-on-month increase of 28% and a year-on-year increase of 14% [3]. - The second-hand housing market saw 18,000 transactions, reflecting a 3% month-on-month increase and a 27% year-on-year increase [3]. Policy Impact - The "Six Policies" introduced on August 26 aimed at optimizing housing market regulations have led to increased market activity, with a notable rise in both new and second-hand housing transactions [4][14]. - Following the implementation of these policies, daily transactions of second-hand homes increased by 12% compared to August [13]. Project Performance - High-end residential properties are becoming a significant support for the market, with "10万+" (over 100,000 yuan per square meter) projects dominating the top sales rankings [9]. - The project "翡云悦府" sold over 1,000 units within five months, although it did not maintain the initial sales momentum [5][6]. - Conversely, some projects, like "翎翠滨江," have struggled, achieving only a 12.6% signing rate since their launch [6]. Market Trends - The average subscription ratio for new projects in September was 0.75, indicating a higher level of interest compared to earlier in the year [10]. - The market is seeing a shift towards higher-priced properties, with a focus on mid-to-high-end products [10][11]. - The overall sentiment in the market remains cautious, with sellers adjusting prices to facilitate quicker sales [16][17].