储能“芯荒”引爆行业，专家：不应过度兴奋，要冷静下来

Core Insights - The current market for energy storage batteries is experiencing high demand, with several leading companies reporting full production capacity and an inability to accept new orders [1][3][4] - The global energy storage battery shipments reached 246.4 GWh in the first half of the year, marking a year-on-year increase of 115.2%, with China's shipments at 232.03 GWh, up 118.4% [4] - The demand for energy storage is driven by a surge in applications, particularly in regions like Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa, which are becoming key growth markets [9][10] Industry Overview - Leading energy storage battery manufacturers, such as CATL and EVE Energy, are operating at nearly 90% capacity utilization, with some companies even outsourcing production to meet demand [3] - The price of energy storage cells has seen an increase of 0.01-0.03 yuan/Wh due to tight supply conditions [4] - The demand for energy storage batteries is expected to remain strong, with projections indicating that global production could exceed 2000 GWh by 2025 [18] Market Dynamics - The market is currently characterized by a dichotomy where some companies are overwhelmed with orders while others struggle to secure business, leading to a "rich get richer" scenario [17] - The transition from a planned to a market-driven model in the energy storage sector is expected to bring challenges, as the industry adapts to new competitive dynamics [14][18] - The recent policy changes, including the cancellation of mandatory storage requirements, have led to a surge in project approvals earlier this year, but subsequent months have seen a decline in new installations [11][12] Future Outlook - The industry is at a critical juncture, with a shift towards larger capacity cells (314 Ah and above) and a focus on technological advancements to improve efficiency and reduce costs [15][18] - The long-term profitability of energy storage is anticipated to improve as the market matures and clearer revenue models emerge [18] - Recommendations for the industry include maintaining quality standards, accelerating technological innovation, and establishing a robust market mechanism to ensure sustainable growth [18]