Youtube·2025-10-03 13:15Core Insights - Alibaba has experienced a significant rally since mid-August, outperforming the consumer discretionary sector and the S&P 500 [1] - In the e-commerce space, Alibaba is leading compared to competitors like eBay and Amazon, with a notable advantage due to its focus on AI chip production [2] - The steep upward trend observed may not be sustainable in the long term, indicating potential support levels around 182, 180, 172, and 167 [3] Technical Analysis - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates an overbought condition, suggesting strength in the current trend, but also presents mixed signals as it has broken through its upward trend line [4][5] - Volume profiles show key support areas around 163 and 180, while standard deviation channels suggest potential short-term boundaries between 185 and 208 [5][6] Options Strategy - A proposed options strategy involves a short put vertical that is neutral to bullish, targeting the October 17th expiration [9][10] - The strategy includes selling a 185 strike put while buying a 175 strike put, allowing for a credit of approximately $3, with a risk of about $700 [11][12] - This approach offers a 60% probability of finishing out of the money, making it a favorable trade for those expecting Alibaba to consolidate or rise above 182 [13][14]