Plug Power stock surges 37% on major hydrogen deal, hits 52-week high of $3.34 as analysts predict PLUG could reach $7 — is Plug Power a buy now?

Core Insights - Plug Power's stock has surged over 134% in the past six months and more than 31% in the last year, with a significant year-to-date rally of about 65% as of October 3, 2025 [1][23] - The company reported record production levels at its Georgia hydrogen production facility, producing 324 metric tons of hydrogen in August 2025 [2][11] - H.C. Wainwright & Co. raised its price target for Plug Power from $3.00 to $7.00, reflecting strong confidence in the company's future earnings and market position [5][8] - The delivery of a 10-megawatt GenEco electrolyzer to Galp, a Portuguese energy firm, will replace 20% of the refinery's grey hydrogen with renewable hydrogen, producing 15,000 tons of green hydrogen annually [6][10] - Rising electricity prices are increasing the competitiveness of green hydrogen, which is expected to positively impact Plug Power's revenue [9][20] Financial Developments - Plug Power amended its at-the-market equity sales agreement, allowing for the issuance of up to $1 billion in common stock, enhancing its financial flexibility for expansion [2][23] - Analyst Amit Dayal raised the 2035 revenue forecast for Plug Power from $7 billion to $11 billion, indicating optimism about the company's growth potential [5][23] Market Dynamics - Plug Power's shares have become a focal point for both growth-focused investors and short sellers, with short interest above 30%, indicating potential price pressure from bearish investors [1][23] - Despite the stock surge, the average price target from FactSet analysts is $2.33, reflecting a cautious outlook from some market participants [7][23] - Over 40% of Plug Power's tradable shares are sold short, which may increase stock volatility during rallies [7][14][23] Strategic Positioning - Plug Power continues to invest in technological advancements to make hydrogen more accessible and cost-effective, positioning itself as a strategic player in the green energy transition [12][20] - The company's focus on scaling production, expanding international partnerships, and innovating in hydrogen technology is likely to drive further investor interest [21][24] - The growing demand for clean energy and increasing environmental regulations create a favorable backdrop for Plug Power's growth [20][24]