Shopify and Etsy Just Got a Surprising Boost From ChatGPT
The Motley Fool·2025-10-04 07:14

Core Insights - Etsy experienced a nearly 5% drop in gross sales in Q2 2025, but a partnership with OpenAI for a new AI product, Instant Checkout, could provide a much-needed boost [1][2] - OpenAI's Instant Checkout will allow ChatGPT users to order Etsy products directly, potentially increasing Etsy's user base significantly [2][3] Company Performance - Etsy's stock rose 16% following the announcement of the partnership with OpenAI [2] - As of Q2, Etsy had 93 million active buyers, a decline from previous figures, while OpenAI's ChatGPT has around 700 million weekly users [7][8] - If just 1% of ChatGPT users utilize Instant Checkout, it could add approximately 7 million buyers to Etsy, nearly 8% of its current user base [7] Market Trends - The integration of AI agents like ChatGPT represents a significant trend in AI, with potential for personalized interactions and task automation [5][6] - Bill Gates has long predicted the rise of agents in computing, and the current advancements in AI suggest that this trend is finally materializing [4] Financial Implications - OpenAI is projected to generate around $13 billion in revenue in 2025, but it plans to spend $850 billion in the coming years, raising questions about its financial sustainability [10][11] - OpenAI will earn revenue from Instant Checkout by taking a small cut of each transaction, which could be beneficial for Etsy if it drives incremental business [12] Future Outlook - The launch of Instant Checkout could create early signs of revitalization in Etsy's business, as new AI products often generate initial excitement and activity [13]