Charles Schwab Earnings Preview: What to Expect

Core Viewpoint - Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW) is set to announce its fiscal third-quarter earnings for 2025, with expectations of strong profit growth and continued outperformance in the financial services sector [1][2]. Financial Performance Expectations - Analysts anticipate SCHW to report a profit of $1.22 per share on a diluted basis, reflecting a 58.4% increase from $0.77 per share in the same quarter last year [2]. - For the full fiscal year, EPS is expected to reach $4.65, marking a 43.1% increase from $3.25 in fiscal 2024, with further growth projected to $5.42 in fiscal 2026, a 16.6% year-over-year rise [3]. Stock Performance - SCHW stock has outperformed the S&P 500 Index, gaining 46.3% over the past 52 weeks compared to the index's 17.6% increase [4]. - The stock also surpassed the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund's (XLF) 18.2% gains during the same period [4]. Drivers of Outperformance - Key factors contributing to SCHW's strong performance include robust asset management and trading revenues, increased net interest income, and growth in brokerage accounts [5]. - Additional contributors are declining funding costs, strategic acquisitions, and higher advice solution fees [5]. Analyst Sentiment - The consensus opinion on SCHW stock is moderately bullish, with a "Moderate Buy" rating overall from 22 analysts [7]. - Among these analysts, 13 recommend a "Strong Buy," four suggest a "Moderate Buy," three give a "Hold," one recommends a "Moderate Sell," and one advocates a "Strong Sell" [7]. - The average analyst price target for SCHW is $108, indicating a potential upside of 16.5% from current levels [7].