Core Insights - Medicare Advantage enrollment is projected to decline to 34 million subscribers in 2026, down from 34.9 million in 2025, resulting in a market share drop from 50% to approximately 48% [1][2] - The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) expects enrollment to be more stable than projected, contrasting with the historical growth trend where Medicare Advantage captured 25% of the market in 2010 and has gained share annually since then [2][3] - The upcoming open-enrollment period from October 15 to December 7 may influence beneficiaries to reassess their health and drug coverage due to rising healthcare costs and recent political events affecting healthcare affordability [4] Industry Trends - Medicare Advantage plans have historically expanded benefits, but current focus has shifted towards profitability rather than growth, potentially leading to less generous benefits and a shift back to original Medicare among seniors [6] - The political climate, including the recent federal government shutdown, may impact beneficiaries' decisions regarding their healthcare plans, as they seek to manage costs amid uncertainty [4][5]
Why fewer seniors are expected to enroll in Medicare Advantage next year — and opt for original Medicare instead
Yahoo Finance·2025-10-04 18:33