谈判在即 以色列发动近百次袭击 加沙停火面临三重挑战

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing negotiations for a ceasefire in Gaza are facing significant internal divisions within Israel, particularly from the far-right factions who view the talks as a "serious mistake" [1]. Group 1: Negotiation Developments - Egypt is set to host a meeting on October 6 between Israeli and Hamas representatives to discuss the exchange of all detained individuals [3]. - U.S. officials, including Jared Kushner and Middle East envoy Avi Berkowitz, are in Egypt to finalize details regarding the release of hostages and discuss a peace plan [5]. - President Trump announced that Israel has agreed to preliminary withdrawal routes from Gaza, which will be shared with Hamas, and emphasized the need for swift action from Hamas to avoid consequences [7]. Group 2: Israeli Government's Position - Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu expressed hope for the imminent release of all detained individuals, attributing Hamas's willingness to negotiate to military and diplomatic pressure [9]. - Netanyahu outlined a two-phase plan: the first phase involves the release of hostages and adjustments to military deployment in Gaza, while the second phase aims for the disarmament of Hamas and demilitarization of Gaza [9]. Group 3: Internal Opposition in Israel - Far-right Finance Minister Smotrich criticized Netanyahu's decision to negotiate, claiming it weakens Israel's position and is a waste of time [11]. - National Security Minister Ben-Gvir indicated that if Hamas remains after the release of hostages, his party would consider leaving the government coalition [11]. Group 4: Challenges to Ceasefire - The ceasefire negotiations face three main challenges: internal extremism from both sides affecting short-term agreements, the necessity for U.S. pressure on Israel and acceptance of power reduction by Hamas for long-term success, and the fundamental disagreement over disarmament and military withdrawal [15][16].