这个国庆长假，机票为什么没“跳水”

Core Insights - The overall trend of domestic economy class ticket prices during the National Day holiday is a gradual decline, but not to the extent of a "plunge," with prices remaining higher than the same period in 2024 [3][4]. Ticket Price Trends - On September 16, the average domestic economy class ticket price for the National Day period was 896 yuan, a slight increase of 0.5% year-on-year [1]. - By September 25, the average price had risen to 819 yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.1% [2]. - As of September 28, the average price was 804 yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 9.2% [3]. Demand and Supply Dynamics - The lack of significant price drops this year is attributed to the supply-demand situation in the aviation market and optimized pricing strategies by airlines [4]. - Airlines initially set higher prices based on expected demand but adjusted dynamically as actual demand did not meet expectations [4]. - The overlap of the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays has led to concentrated travel demand, while airlines did not significantly increase capacity, resulting in demand outpacing supply [4]. Flight Operations and Passenger Volume - The total number of passenger flights during the National Day and Mid-Autumn holiday is expected to reach 139,000, averaging over 17,000 flights per day, a year-on-year increase of 5.7% [5]. - The anticipated passenger volume is 19.57 million, averaging 2.447 million per day, which is a 6.4% increase year-on-year [5]. - As of September 29, domestic flight bookings for the holiday exceeded 11.89 million, with a daily average increase of approximately 3% compared to the previous year [5]. Regulatory Environment - The Civil Aviation Administration of China (CAAC) has prioritized the regulation of aviation market pricing, influencing ticket pricing strategies this year [5]. - The CAAC has emphasized price monitoring and compliance with national pricing laws, which has contributed to stabilizing ticket prices [5][6].