Prediction: President Trump Will Legalize Marijuana in 2026

Core Insights - The recent video posted by President Trump on Truth Social signals a potential shift in U.S. cannabis policy, indicating that marijuana legalization may be imminent [1][2][3] - The video, produced by the Commonwealth Project, advocates for integrating medical cannabis into healthcare for seniors and suggests that Medicare should cover cannabinoid purchases [4][5][6] Industry Implications - The video claims that widespread medical marijuana use could save the U.S. healthcare system up to $64 billion annually, appealing to the government's interest in reducing spending [6][7] - If the federal government decides to cover medical marijuana under Medicare, it could significantly benefit marijuana investors, as it would promote the use of cannabis over traditional pharmaceuticals [7] Market Reaction - Following the video's release, major marijuana stocks experienced significant gains, with Canopy Growth rising 17%, Aurora Cannabis increasing by 28%, and Tilray surging 60% [10] - Curaleaf Holdings, the only major U.S.-based cannabis stock, also saw a gain of over 37%, indicating strong investor confidence in the potential for legalization [10] Future Outlook - The video is perceived as a "trial balloon" to gauge public support for marijuana legalization, with expectations that a formal announcement could occur during the upcoming State of the Union address in January 2025 [8][9] - Predictions suggest that marijuana legalization could be achieved by mid-2026, contingent on Congressional approval [9]