Group 1 - The S&P 500 index is expected to experience a slight pullback of 3%-4%, with some analysts predicting a potential drop of 5% to 10% [2] - The current valuation of the S&P 500 stands at 23 times expected earnings, comparable to the levels seen during the 2000 internet bubble, raising concerns about sustainability as earnings reports approach [2] - The U.S. government shutdown has created a lack of important economic data, leading traders to adopt a cautious stance, reducing positions and waiting for clearer signals [2] Group 2 - October 15 is a critical date for traders due to the CPI announcement; if the government remains shut down, the delay in CPI release could lead to increased market volatility [3] - Institutional investors are purchasing protective put options to hedge against sudden market declines, indicating a shift in sentiment as they prefer to lock in gains rather than take additional risks [3] - The current market risk is characterized by stagnation rather than a sharp decline, with smart money exiting while latecomers are left to absorb potential losses [3]
一部分人悄悄撤退，留下世界接盘
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-10-05 23:02