国际金价 再创历史新高！消费者：从今年年中一直观望到十一 没想到越等越贵！

Core Viewpoint - The spot gold price has reached a new historical high, surpassing $3920 per ounce, driven by increased investor demand for gold as a safe-haven asset amid economic uncertainties [1][6]. Gold Price Movement - As of October 6, spot gold is reported at $3908.22 per ounce, with intraday highs reaching $3945.20 per ounce [3][6]. - The price has increased significantly, breaking the $3800 mark in less than ten days [1]. Domestic Gold Jewelry Prices - Domestic gold jewelry brands have also seen record high prices, with 周生生 at 1136 RMB per gram, 周大福 at 1129 RMB per gram, and 老凤祥 at 1131 RMB per gram as of October 4 [4][5]. Consumer Sentiment - Many consumers believe that gold prices will continue to rise, reflecting a growing emphasis on gold's hedging and value-preserving properties [5]. - The trend of "buying high" rather than "buying low" is prevalent, with consumers still actively purchasing gold jewelry despite rising prices [5]. Economic Factors Influencing Gold Prices - The uncertainty surrounding the U.S. federal government shutdown has heightened investor risk aversion, contributing to the bullish sentiment towards gold [5]. - Weak employment data from various non-government agencies has reinforced expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which typically benefits gold prices [5][7]. Future Price Predictions - Analysts generally expect further increases in gold prices, with Barclays suggesting that gold is not overvalued compared to the U.S. dollar and government bonds [8]. - Citigroup has raised its three-month gold price target to $4000 per ounce, while UBS anticipates prices could reach $4200 per ounce by mid-2026 [8]. - Goldman Sachs analysts noted unexpectedly strong inflows into gold ETFs, indicating a potential for prices to reach $4000 per ounce by mid-2026 and $4300 per ounce by the end of next year [8].