罕见，暴涨2000点

Market Performance - The Nikkei 225 index surged over 4% on October 6, reaching a historic high of 47,699.96 points, with an intraday increase of nearly 2,000 points [1] - The Tokyo Stock Price Index (TOPIX) also hit a record high, closing at 3,216.31, up 87.14 points or 2.78% from the previous day [2] Currency Exchange Rates - The USD/JPY exchange rate rose by 1.56% to 149.74 yen, while the EUR/JPY increased by over 1% to 175.08 yen, marking the highest level since July 2024 [3] - The AUD/JPY exchange rate climbed 1.19% to 98.41 yen, reaching its highest point since January 2025 [3] Bond Market - The yield on 10-year Japanese government bonds increased by 0.5 basis points to 1.65% [4] - Mizuho Bank's strategy team noted that uncertainties surrounding the U.S. government shutdown and expectations of a rate hike by the Bank of Japan could push the USD/JPY closer to the 150 mark, although further upward movement may be limited [5] Political Developments - On October 4, former Economic Security Minister Sanae Takaichi won the ruling Liberal Democratic Party's presidential election, potentially becoming Japan's first female Prime Minister [6] - Takaichi supports loose fiscal and monetary policies, which may raise concerns about increased bond supply and lower expectations for a rate hike by the Bank of Japan [7] - The likelihood of a rate hike in December dropped from 68% to 41% following Takaichi's election [7] Economic Outlook - Analysts suggest that Takaichi's responsible expansionary fiscal policy could boost the stock market if it ensures targeted funding in high-growth areas rather than indiscriminate spending [7] - The focus will be on balancing fiscal health with economic growth, with caution advised against excessive fiscal expansion [7]