Celanese Stock: What Sparked The Collapse?

Core Insights - Celanese Corporation has experienced a significant stock price decline of nearly 78% since April 2024, dropping from approximately $170 to around $45, indicating a structural breakdown rather than a mere market overreaction [1][6]. Adhishthana Cycle Analysis - According to the Adhishthana Principles, stocks typically form a Cakra structure between Phases 4-8, which usually has bullish implications, followed by a breakout in Phase 9 leading to a strong bullish move [2]. - Initially, Celanese followed this expected path, forming its Cakra from July 2021 through Phase 7. However, in Phase 8, the stock broke down instead of preparing for a bullish breakout, leading to a bearish move known as the Move of Pralaya [3][5]. - The breakdown was severe, with the stock experiencing a drop of over 32% in a single trading session, confirming the Cakra breakdown [5]. Future Outlook - The breakdown suggests that the slump in Celanese's stock price is likely to continue until it reaches the Guna Triads in Phase 14, which is still several years away [6]. - Although some investors, including Citigroup, have recently adopted a positive outlook on the stock, the Adhishthana cycle indicates a bearish trend [6]. - While small rallies may occur, they are expected to be unsustainable, and treating the stock as a value play may be premature given the underlying structural issues [7].