世行预测：今年东亚与太平洋地区经济增速4.8%，越南领跑

Group 1 - The World Bank predicts that the economic growth rate for the East Asia and Pacific region will be 4.8% this year, slightly lower than 5.0% in 2024 [1][2] - Vietnam leads the region with a growth rate of 6.6%, followed by Mongolia at 5.9% and the Philippines at 5.3% [1][2] - The region's economic performance continues to outperform most other parts of the world, but it faces global uncertainties that necessitate ambitious reforms to create more job opportunities and sustain growth [2][3] Group 2 - The report highlights that the current model of inclusive development in the region is facing new challenges, particularly in job growth concentrated in low-productivity, often informal service sector jobs [3] - There is a paradox of strong economic growth not translating into sufficient high-quality job creation, necessitating bolder reforms to eliminate market access and competition barriers [3][4] - The World Bank emphasizes the need for reforms and investments in human capital and digital infrastructure, as well as policies that ensure job opportunities align with workers' skills [4] Group 3 - The World Bank forecasts a slowdown in economic growth to 4.3% by 2026, influenced by factors such as increased trade restrictions and reliance on fiscal stimulus rather than structural reforms [4] - The rapid development of artificial intelligence, robotics, and digital platforms requires businesses, workers, and policymakers to acquire new skills and enhance adaptability [4] - The past 30 years of export-oriented, labor-intensive growth have lifted 1 billion people out of poverty, but the region now faces dual challenges of trade protectionism and job automation [4]