How to play the AI rally now, CEOs are fretting about tariffs

Market Overview - The AI trade continues to drive market sentiment, particularly following the significant deal between OpenAI and AMD, which is expected to add billions in sales for AMD over the next few years [3][9][12] - Major stock indexes opened positively, with the Dow up approximately 88 points, and AMD seeing a notable increase of 7% after a 23% rise the previous day [5][6] - Gold prices have surged, hitting record highs, with a year-to-date increase of over 50%, indicating a strong demand for commodities amid rising equities [7][31] Corporate Performance - McCormick, the maker of Frank's RedHot sauce, has lowered its full-year profit forecast due to increased costs from tariffs [4] - Constellation Brands is facing challenges with weak consumer demand, highlighting the impact of changing consumer preferences [4] - Dell has raised its long-term revenue growth outlook from 3-4% to 7-9% due to a positive outlook on AI [12][15] AI Sector Insights - The partnership between OpenAI and AMD is seen as a pivotal moment for the AI sector, challenging skepticism about peak AI infrastructure and future demand [9][10] - AMD's CEO emphasized the potential of AI technology, suggesting that the industry is in the early stages of a significant growth cycle [11] - Analysts have expressed concerns about the sustainability of AI stock valuations, warning that current multiples may pose risks for new investors [13][27] Tariff Impact - A KPMG survey revealed that 89% of CEOs believe tariffs will significantly affect business performance over the next three years, with 86% planning to increase prices [43][44] - CEOs are actively adjusting supply chains and pricing strategies in response to tariff-related costs [45][48] - The survey indicates a growing concern among CEOs regarding the impact of tariffs on small businesses and overall market stability [47] Investment Strategies - Experts suggest that average retail investors may already have significant exposure to AI stocks and should consider diversifying their portfolios to mitigate risks [19][22] - Leveraged ETFs are gaining interest as investors look for ways to capitalize on the AI trend, although caution is advised for average investors [20][21] - The discussion around gold as a hedge against market volatility is prominent, with some analysts favoring AI investments for potential growth despite the risks [34][38]