Group 1: Core Insights - Resource security, corporate globalization, and technological competition remain the most important structural market clues, corresponding to the industry allocation framework of resources + globalization + new productivity [1][6] - The recent surge in prices of precious metals, base metals, and energy metals indicates an increasing focus on resource security, with significant price increases observed in tin and cobalt due to supply shocks [2][6] - The expansion of AI from enterprise-level to consumer-level applications is expected to drive a boom in edge hardware and applications, with major companies like OpenAI leading the charge [3][6] Group 2: Market Trends - Precious metals have shown a clear upward trend, with gold and silver prices reaching historical highs, and the gold-silver ratio declining, indicating potential for further increases in silver prices [2][6] - The market is currently characterized by an influx of absolute return funds, with traditional long-only funds not showing significant net inflows, suggesting a gradual return to structural market characteristics [5][6] - The ongoing trade disputes, particularly between the US and China, are complex, but a delicate balance is likely to be maintained, impacting corporate globalization efforts [4][5] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Focus on sectors with real profit realization or strong industrial trends, particularly in resources, consumer electronics, innovative pharmaceuticals, and gaming [6] - Suggested ETFs for investment include those focused on non-ferrous metals, VR technology, innovative pharmaceuticals, and gaming, while also considering sectors with sustained pricing power like cobalt, rare earths, and phosphorous chemicals [6]
中信证券:假期间的热点主要集中在资源和AI领域