Group 1 - Fermi Inc. is a new IPO positioned within the AI sector, planning to develop a mega-campus for energy infrastructure and data centers to support AI development [1] - The company has secured a 99-year ground lease on 5,236 acres, which is strategically located for connectivity and access to power [4] - Fermi aims to generate 11 GW of onsite power from reliable sources like nuclear and natural gas, with plans for large-scale data centers [7] Group 2 - The business model involves leasing data centers along with power capacity, which qualifies for REIT tax laws [8][9] - Fermi's market analysis suggests that a tenant lease could generate $1.5 billion in revenue per GW of capacity, leading to an estimated $1 billion in NOI after operating expenses [11] - The company has a letter of intent with an investment-grade tenant for a 20-year lease, indicating strong demand for its services [9] Group 3 - Fermi's co-founder, Rick Perry, may help navigate regulatory challenges due to his experience as a former U.S. Secretary of Energy [16] - The company has contracted for approximately 720 MW of generating capacity and has a preliminary agreement for an additional 200 MW from Xcel Energy [17] - Fermi's business plan is considered reasonable given the demand for energy infrastructure, although execution risks remain [18] Group 4 - The IPO raised about $2 billion, but the market cap is currently around $18 billion, raising concerns about overvaluation [19][26] - The majority of shares were issued at low prices, leading to significant dilution for public investors who paid higher prices during the IPO [33][34] - The limited float of shares (only 32.5 million out of 592 million) contributes to the inflated market valuation, with expectations of a price drop as lock-up periods expire [35][38]
Fermi: Great Concept But Grossly Overpriced