Here's What to Expect From Pfizer's Oncology Drugs in Q3 Earnings

Core Insights - Pfizer is a leading player in the oncology sector with a strong portfolio of approved cancer medicines and a robust pipeline focusing on various modalities, including small molecules and immuno-oncology biologics [1] Group 1: Oncology Performance - The acquisition of Seagen in 2023 enhanced Pfizer's oncology position by adding four antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs), which significantly contributed to revenues in the first half of 2025 [2] - Oncology sales account for over 25% of Pfizer's total revenues, with a 9% growth in the first half of 2025 [2][10] - Key drugs such as Xtandi, Lorbrena, and the Braftovi-Mektovi combination are expected to drive oncology sales in Q3, compensating for the decline in Ibrance sales [3][10] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Major competitors in the oncology space include AstraZeneca, Merck, and Bristol-Myers, with AstraZeneca's oncology sales comprising around 43% of total revenues and growing by 16% in the first half of 2025 [7] - Merck's Keytruda, a PD-L1 inhibitor, accounts for approximately 50% of its pharmaceutical sales, with a 6.6% increase to $15.1 billion in the first half of 2025 [8] - Bristol-Myers' Opdivo, another PD-L1 inhibitor, represents about 20% of its total revenues, with a 9% increase to $4.82 billion in the first half of 2025 [8] Group 3: Sales Dynamics - Ibrance sales are declining due to competitive pressures, generic entries in some markets, and the impact of Medicare Part D redesign in the U.S., which is also expected to negatively affect other oncology drugs [4] - Sales of Padcev are likely benefiting from strong demand trends, while Adcetris is facing competitive pressure in the U.S. [5] - Revenues from oncology biosimilars are anticipated to have increased in Q3, with updates on late-stage oncology candidates expected during the third-quarter conference call [6] Group 4: Financial Metrics - Pfizer's stock has seen a 1.0% decline this year, contrasting with an 8.0% increase in the industry [9] - The company's shares are trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 8.45, lower than the industry average of 15.89 and its own 5-year mean of 10.62, indicating attractive valuation [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings has slightly increased from $3.11 to $3.12 per share over the past 60 days [13]