Corporación América Airports S.A. (CAAP): A Bull Case Theory

Core Thesis - Corporación América Airports S.A. (CAAP) is viewed positively due to its strong market position, financial metrics, and favorable economic conditions in Argentina, suggesting significant upside potential for investors [1][5]. Company Overview - CAAP operates 53 airports, primarily in South America, with a focus on Argentina, benefiting from high-quality assets that function as local monopolies with substantial regulatory barriers and built-in price escalators [2]. Financial Performance - The company reported a trailing P/E of 20.35 and a forward P/E of 4.89, with an enterprise value of $4.1 billion and LTM EBITDA of $641 million, resulting in an attractive EV/EBITDA multiple of 6.4x [1][4]. - Levered free cash flow is approximately $600 million, providing the company with the flexibility to reinvest in expansion, pursue acquisitions, or return capital to shareholders [4]. Growth Drivers - Passenger traffic across CAAP's airports grew by 13.7% last quarter, driven by both domestic and international demand, and is expected to continue growing due to Argentina's pro-business policies under President Javier Milei [3]. - The extension of airport leases by ten years at no extra cost and the encouragement of competition from international and low-cost carriers are anticipated to drive higher passenger volumes and revenue growth [3]. Future Outlook - With the ongoing recovery in air travel and Argentina's economic improvements, CAAP is projected to achieve annual revenue growth of over 15% in the coming years, alongside margin expansion [5]. - The combination of undervaluation, high-quality assets, strong cash flow, and multiple growth catalysts positions CAAP as a compelling investment opportunity for both equity and credit investors [5].