土耳其通胀意外反弹 央行宽松路径受考验

Core Viewpoint - Turkey's inflation rate has unexpectedly rebounded in September, raising concerns about the central bank's ability to meet its inflation targets and prompting discussions on future interest rate cuts [1] Inflation Data - The annual inflation rate in Turkey increased from 32.95% in August to 33.29% in September, marking the first rise in 16 months [1] - This unexpected rise in inflation poses a risk of exceeding the central bank's original target by the end of the year [1] Central Bank Actions - The Central Bank of Turkey has cut interest rates by 300 basis points in July and 250 basis points in September, surpassing many institutions' expectations [1] - Market analysts predict that the central bank may adopt a more cautious and gradual approach to interest rate cuts in the remaining monetary policy meetings of the year [1] Market Analysis - Financial analyst Selpil Tuncer suggests that the central bank's future policies must balance multiple objectives, including controlling price increases, maintaining a reasonable positive interest rate, and ensuring financial market stability [1] - The complexity of these objectives significantly increases the operational challenges for the central bank [1]