United Airlines to Report Q3 Earnings: Is a Beat Ahead for the Stock?

Core Insights - United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) is set to report its third-quarter 2025 results on October 15, with earnings expected at $2.64 per share, reflecting a 20.7% decline from the previous year, while revenues are projected to increase by 2.9% to $15.27 billion [1][9] Financial Performance Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for UAL's third-quarter earnings has remained stable over the past 60 days at $2.64 per share, indicating a significant year-over-year decline [1] - UAL has a history of positive earnings surprises, having exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the last four quarters with an average beat of 9.3% [2] - Passenger revenues are expected to rise by 2.1% compared to the third quarter of 2024, while other revenues are estimated to grow by 8.3% to $937 million [3] Cost Management - UAL anticipates a strong cost performance in the upcoming quarter, with aircraft fuel expenses expected to decrease by 2.1% compared to the same period last year [4] Market Challenges - Geopolitical uncertainty, tariff pressures, and persistent inflation are expected to negatively impact UAL's operations and travel demand, particularly in international and business segments, potentially leading to volatility in passenger traffic [5] Earnings Prediction Model - The earnings prediction model indicates a potential earnings beat for UAL, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +0.47% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [6][9] Recent Earnings Review - UAL's second-quarter 2025 results showed mixed performance, with earnings surpassing estimates but revenues falling short; earnings per share were reported at $3.87, a 6.5% decline year-over-year [7]