Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang·2025-10-09 00:56Core Viewpoint - Emphasis on the valuation expansion of domestic wafer foundries, driven by intensified demand and a price increase cycle in the storage sector [2] Market Performance - In the week before the holiday, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.21%, while the electronics sector increased by 3.51%, with semiconductors up by 7.64%. In contrast, the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 1.58% [2] - During the holiday period, Hong Kong's semiconductor sector performed well, with domestic foundries SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor reaching historical highs [2] Semiconductor Industry Insights - Domestic wafer foundry capabilities are advancing in both quantity and quality, driven by the growing demand for AI computing power and enhanced high-end chip design capabilities [2] - The increasing procurement by major companies like Deepseek, Alibaba, and Tencent highlights the necessity and scarcity of domestic high-end chip foundry capabilities [2] Storage Market Dynamics - The AI application Sora gained significant popularity during the holiday, and OpenAI partnered with AMD to expand computing power, indicating a competitive arms race among internet giants [2] - The NAND market is expected to see a rise in both volume and price due to increased demand from AI inference, with predictions of a 5-10% increase in contract prices for NAND Flash products in Q4 2025 [2] Capacity Growth Projections - From 2024 to 2028, China's wafer fab capacity is projected to grow at a CAGR of 8.1%, surpassing the global average of 5.3% [3] - The capacity growth for mainstream nodes (22nm-40nm) is expected to be particularly strong, with a CAGR of 26.5% [3] Company Developments - Yangtze Memory Technologies Co. (YMTC) completed its restructuring and is poised for expansion, with its valuation exceeding 160 billion yuan [4] - The establishment of the third phase of YMTC is expected to boost orders for domestic front-end equipment companies [4] AI Infrastructure Investments - Alibaba Cloud is accelerating its transformation into a full-stack AI service provider, with a three-year plan to invest 380 billion yuan in AI infrastructure [5] - The launch of the new AI server, designed to support multiple AI chips, reflects the growing demand for AI solutions [5] Investment Recommendations - Continued focus on domestic semiconductor companies such as SMIC, Hua Hong Semiconductor, and various storage firms like Demingli and Jiangbolong is advised [2][3][4] - In the consumer electronics sector, companies like Industrial Fulian and Xiaomi Group are highlighted for potential investment [6]