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华鑫证券:维持周六福(06168)“买入”评级 线上线下双轮驱动
智通财经网·2025-10-09 07:49

Core Viewpoint - Huaxin Securities reports that Zhou Shifu (06168), as a leading jewelry enterprise, is continuously optimizing its business model and adjusting product structure according to market demand, while steadily developing the lower-tier market and attempting high-end market strategies, which is expected to drive profit release as brand momentum deepens [1] Industry Overview - The scale of China's jewelry market has increased from 610 billion yuan in 2019 to an estimated 728 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 3.6%, and is projected to reach 937 billion yuan by 2029, with gold jewelry dominating the market [1] - The industry is experiencing new trends such as "Guochao" (national trend) and IP co-branded products, with companies primarily opening stores to directly face consumers while rapidly expanding online channels [1] - The e-commerce channel for gold jewelry is expected to reach 42.2 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a 19% year-on-year growth [1] - The current industry concentration remains low, with the CR5 for gold jewelry products at 41%, allowing leading companies to continue gaining market share through brand effects and terminal occupation [1] Company Strategy - The company is located in the core gold jewelry production area of Shuibei, leveraging supply chain advantages at the processing end [2] - The company primarily operates through franchise stores, starting from lower-tier markets and expanding into high-tier cities post-pandemic by opening high-end stores to strengthen brand power [2] - As of the first half of 2025, the company has a total of 3,857 stores, with the number of stores in first and second-tier cities accounting for 50% of the total [2] - The company is effectively capturing traffic from interest e-commerce platforms like Douyin and Xiaohongshu for brand exposure, with online channel revenue reaching 1.63 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a 34% year-on-year increase [2] - The product strategy includes a full-category and full-scenario coverage approach, launching diverse product series such as Xigu Gold, Yihe Wonderland, and Yixin Yiai, focusing on the core demographic of young women and enhancing the youthful brand image through Guochao IP collaborations [2]