智通财经网·2025-10-09 07:47Core Viewpoint - Coal stocks experienced significant gains in the late trading session, indicating positive market sentiment towards the coal industry [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Strength Development (01277) rose by 5.76%, reaching HKD 1.47 - China Coal Energy (01898) increased by 4.37%, reaching HKD 9.8 - Yida Commodity (01733) saw a rise of 3.45%, reaching HKD 0.9 - China Shenhua (01088) gained 2.91%, reaching HKD 38.92 [1] Group 2: Industry Outlook - Zheshang Securities forecasts that the overall performance of coal enterprises will see a narrowing year-on-year decline and an improvement on a quarter-on-quarter basis by Q3 2025 [1] - As the heating season approaches, power plants and heating companies are expected to replenish their stocks, which will support an increase in spot prices due to long-term contract price rises [1] - Coal prices are anticipated to rise in mid to late October [1] Group 3: Policy and Supply Dynamics - The ongoing "anti-involution" policy is expected to continue promoting industry self-discipline, driving a contraction in coal supply and further supporting steady coal price increases [1] - Capacity replacement restrictions are likely to limit production scale, with potential reductions in capacity influenced by capacity indicators [1] - The industry maintains a "positive" outlook rating [1]