Gold Has Surged to Record Highs Above $4,000—Watch Out for These Critical Price Levels

Core Insights - Gold (XAUUSD) has surpassed the $4,000/oz mark for the first time, driven by investor anxiety over the U.S. government shutdown, economic uncertainty, and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [2][8] - Spot gold prices have increased by 54% since the beginning of the year, currently trading around $4,035 per ounce, supported by central bank purchases and geopolitical tensions [3][8] Price Trends - Gold's price has shown a strong uptrend since breaking out of a narrow trading range in early September, with only minor retracements observed [4][8] - The relative strength index indicates overbought conditions, recently exceeding 85, suggesting potential for near-term profit-taking [4] Technical Analysis - The average directional index is above 50, indicating a strong uptrend in gold prices [5] - A bullish target of $4,160 has been projected using the measured move technique, suggesting a 3% upside from current levels [6][8] Support Levels - Initial pullbacks may test the $3,700 support level, which corresponds to a previous consolidation period [7][8] - If this level fails to hold, further declines could see gold prices drop to around $3,450, which may serve as a new support level [7][9] - A significant drop could lead to a revisit of the $3,250 support level, near the rising 200-day moving average [9]