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央行开展1.1万亿元买断式逆回购操作 有何信号?
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen·2025-10-09 12:39

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has initiated a buyback reverse repo operation of 1.1 trillion yuan to maintain liquidity in the banking system, marking the continuation of liquidity support for the fifth consecutive month [1][2]. Group 1: Reverse Repo Operations - On October 9, the PBOC conducted a buyback reverse repo operation of 1.1 trillion yuan with a term of 3 months (91 days) [1]. - In October, 800 billion yuan of 3-month reverse repos are set to mature, and the PBOC's recent operation indicates an increase of 300 billion yuan in this category [2]. - An additional 500 billion yuan of 6-month reverse repos are also maturing, with expectations for another operation in this category, likely maintaining the same amount [2]. Group 2: Liquidity Management - The PBOC's actions are aimed at countering potential liquidity tightening due to large-scale government bond issuances and seasonal cash demand increases post-holiday [2][3]. - Analysts predict that the PBOC will continue to inject medium-term liquidity through reverse repos to stabilize the financial environment and support government bond issuance [2][4]. - The PBOC's strategy includes using both reverse repos and Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) tools to manage liquidity effectively [4]. Group 3: Monetary Policy Direction - The PBOC's recent monetary policy meeting emphasized the need for proactive and targeted monetary policy adjustments to align with economic conditions [5]. - The central bank aims to maintain ample liquidity while encouraging financial institutions to increase credit supply, ensuring that the growth of social financing and money supply aligns with economic growth and inflation expectations [5]. - There is an indication of potential reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts in the fourth quarter to further support economic stability and the real estate market [4][5].