美联储主席最新发声！

Core Points - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell emphasized the importance of community banks in the U.S. financial system, highlighting their close ties to local economies and customers [2] - New York Fed President John Williams expressed support for further interest rate cuts within the year to address potential risks of a labor market slowdown [3][4] - Market expectations indicate a high probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting, with recent meeting minutes reflecting concerns over weak employment data and inflation slightly above the Fed's target [6] Group 1: Federal Reserve Leadership Statements - Powell stated that community banks play a crucial role in understanding local economic conditions and customer needs, and the Fed is committed to tailoring regulations to support their operations [2] - Williams noted a gradual cooling in the labor market over the past year, with job vacancies and turnover rates declining, but he does not foresee an imminent recession [3][4] Group 2: Economic Outlook and Interest Rate Expectations - Williams highlighted that tariffs have had a limited impact on inflation, estimating they raised inflation by 0.25 to 0.5 percentage points, but overall inflation is stabilizing [3][4] - The market anticipates a 94.1% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut in October, with the Fed's recent meeting minutes indicating a consensus on the need for further rate reductions due to economic slowdown concerns [6]