Walmart Stock at 36.5X P/E: Smart to Hold or Time to Sell?

Core Insights - Walmart Inc. (WMT) maintains strong investor confidence, reflected in its forward 12-month P/E ratio of 36.49, surpassing the industry average of 33.45 and the broader Zacks Retail–Wholesale sector's 24.50, indicating market belief in its growth potential and operational resilience [1][4][7] Valuation and Market Performance - Walmart's elevated P/E ratio signals expectations of steady earnings growth and improved margins as it leverages scale, technology investments, and innovative strategies [4][7] - Over the past three months, Walmart shares increased by 8.5%, outperforming the industry gain of 8% and the broader sector's 2.5% increase, while the S&P 500 matched Walmart's performance [5][6] Business Strategy and Growth Drivers - The company's diverse business model generates growth from various streams, including digital advertising, memberships, and marketplace operations, which are less reliant on traditional retail sales [9] - Walmart's digital and logistics capabilities have improved significantly, utilizing its store network as fulfillment hubs for faster delivery, while investments in automation and AI enhance productivity [10] Financial Performance - In Q2 of fiscal 2026, Walmart reported a 5.6% increase in total revenues, with comparable sales in Walmart U.S. up 4.6%, driven by grocery strength and health & wellness growth [11] - International sales surged by 10.5%, led by a 30% increase in China, with digital sales growing 25% globally [11] Cost Pressures and Future Outlook - Despite strong performance, Walmart faces cost headwinds, including $450 million in additional liability expenses and pressures from higher wages and technology investments [12] - Management anticipates operating income growth to outpace sales growth for the full year, with consolidated net sales growth expected between 3.75-4.75% [13] Analyst Sentiment - Analysts have raised near-term earnings estimates for Walmart, reflecting confidence in the company's ability to sustain growth [15]