Xin Hua Cai Jing·2025-10-09 21:33Core Viewpoint - The domestic pig prices have sharply declined, with futures contracts dropping nearly 6% to below 12,000 yuan per ton, attributed to a combination of reduced demand and increased supply pressure [2][3]. Group 1: Price Trends - The weighted price of October pig futures has already seen a monthly decline of 7.9%, following an 8.4% drop in September, marking the largest monthly decline since January [3]. - The sales data from listed pig companies indicate a significant increase in sales volume despite the drop in average selling prices, with companies like Wens Foodstuffs reporting a 32.46% year-on-year increase in sales [4]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - There is a notable increase in the planned slaughter volume for October, with a 5.48% rise compared to September, indicating ongoing supply pressure [5][6]. - The market consensus suggests a phase of demand inertia decline post-holiday, with expectations of reduced consumer demand and limited new orders from major slaughterhouses [7]. Group 3: Market Sentiment - The overall market sentiment is pessimistic, with many institutions expressing a bearish outlook for pig prices over the next three months due to high levels of breeding sows and slow capacity reduction [8][9]. - The industry is experiencing a phase of losses, with companies focusing on cost-cutting and cash flow management, leading to a challenging environment for price recovery [8].