鲍威尔最新发声，美联储有望继续降息

Core Points - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell emphasized the importance of community banks in the U.S. financial system, highlighting their close ties to local economies and customers [3] - New York Fed President John Williams expressed support for further interest rate cuts to address potential risks in the labor market, noting a gradual cooling trend in employment [6][10] - Investors widely expect the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates by 25 basis points in the upcoming meeting, with a high probability of further cuts by December [10] Group 1 - Powell did not address the current economic situation or monetary policy in his remarks [4] - Williams noted that while the labor market is cooling, it has not raised concerns about an imminent recession [6] - The latest indicators show a moderate cooling in the overall job market without signs of accelerated deterioration [6] Group 2 - Williams mentioned that tariffs have raised import prices, contributing to inflation, but the impact is less than previously expected [6][7] - He estimated that tariffs have increased inflation by 0.25 to 0.5 percentage points, but overall inflation risks have stabilized [6][7] - The Federal Reserve's decision-making is based on data analysis rather than political considerations, emphasizing the importance of central bank independence [7]