戴德梁行：三季度深圳商办市场冷热交替 写字楼租赁需求有微调

Core Insights - The article discusses the recent developments in Shenzhen's retail and office markets, highlighting the opening of new shopping centers and the dynamics of supply and demand in these sectors [1][2][3]. Retail Market Overview - Shenzhen's retail market continues to see strong supply, with approximately 280,000 square meters of new premium shopping center space added in Q3, bringing the total stock to 7.757 million square meters [2]. - New projects include Shenzhen Dayuecheng, Qianhai Ice and Snow World, and Shenzhen Bay MixC Phase II, each with unique positioning and brand offerings [2]. - Shenzhen Dayuecheng has achieved an average daily footfall of 150,000 and total sales nearing 370 million yuan within two months of opening [2]. - The retail sector's total social consumer goods retail sales growth rate has recovered to 3.6% in the first seven months, with merchandise retail growth at 3.8%, outpacing the restaurant sector [3]. Office Market Dynamics - The total stock of Grade A office space in Shenzhen has reached 8.879 million square meters, with significant new supply concentrated in the Qianhai area [5]. - The vacancy rate for Grade A offices has increased by 1.2 percentage points to 29.0%, driven by the influx of new supply [5]. - Average rental rates for Grade A offices have decreased to 153.4 yuan per square meter per month, reflecting a 4.2% quarter-on-quarter decline and an 11.2% year-on-year decline [5]. - The net absorption of office space reached 92,000 square meters in Q3, marking the highest quarterly figure since 2024 [5]. Trends and Innovations - There is a trend towards smaller retail spaces in mature projects as businesses seek to control costs and reduce risks [4]. - The collaboration between property owners and office service operators is evolving from traditional leasing to partnership models, enhancing risk-sharing and revenue-sharing mechanisms [6]. - The demand for office space is primarily driven by the TMT, financial, professional services, and retail sectors, with notable activity in niche technology companies entering the market [6][7].